Username0709
0xe56e045aa0a2759bbee0fac367e14e3503d2b06a
- Realised P&L
- $46.54
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $281.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.444 | $221.75 | −$5.97 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.595 | $30.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.645 | $29.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.944 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.95at 0.716Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$72.65at 0.745Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$53.23at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$43.17at 0.695Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$32.63at 0.380Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 18:22 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6499999881 | $30.00 |
| 10-02 18:21 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 05:34 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.542 | $271.00 |
| 09-13 21:47 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.991 | $93.87 |
| 09-13 21:15 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.7389999981 | $70.00 |
| 09-13 21:06 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.7621599653 | $70.32 |
| 09-10 20:13 | Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0589999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 20:12 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0769999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 06:38 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4560777306 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 05:33 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 05:30 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.629 | $111.72 |
| 09-04 07:19 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4399999929 | $29.56 |
| 09-04 07:18 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.653 | $19.59 |
| 09-04 07:17 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.216755175 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 07:17 | Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0476159627 | $15.00 |