strategy2026
0xe569750ba3ecf8c0e2a4fb76c29ada9c5b6a4a55
- Realised P&L
- $-608.19
- Volume
- $33.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,031
- Open portfolio
- $67.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,031
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.39at 0.100Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?
- +$36.40at 0.136Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- +$30.21at 0.110Will the Kansas City Chiefs be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
- +$28.95at 0.114Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% before 2027?
- +$19.50at 0.288Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:40 | Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.80 |
| 11-01 23:47 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.895 | $8.95 |
| 11-01 23:46 | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 11-01 22:48 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | SELL | 0.087 | $0.77 |
| 11-01 22:45 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.69 |
| 11-01 22:27 | Will the next Israeli government hold between 58 and 60 seats? | SELL | 0.9 | $22.50 |
| 11-01 22:10 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.22 |
| 11-01 21:39 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 11-01 19:01 | Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.896 | $17.92 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Will ERC win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.6983333333 | $41.90 |
| 11-01 16:08 | Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $13.76 |
| 11-01 14:54 | Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 13:18 | France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.93 |
| 11-01 10:45 | Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? | SELL | 0.082 | $1.64 |
| 11-01 03:15 | Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.27 |