PolyBot

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Traders

strategy2026

0xe569750ba3ecf8c0e2a4fb76c29ada9c5b6a4a55

Realised P&L
$-608.19
Volume
$33.9k
Markets traded
2,031
Open portfolio
$67.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,031
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8900.855$33.99−$1.39
Święczkowski charged by December 31? · No0.8800.760$14.86−$2.35
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? · No0.9000.835$4.17−$0.33
Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Zamora in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0690.030$1.92−$2.43
Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? · Yes0.0530.029$1.50−$1.20
Will Bryce Underwood be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader? · Yes0.0700.035$1.42−$1.38
Will Chen Chia-ping win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? · Yes0.0430.046$0.92+$0.06
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0330.018$0.88−$0.78
Will Ivica Zubac lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27? · Yes0.0780.043$0.86−$0.70
Will Cam Skattebo finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns? · Yes0.0710.035$0.69−$0.73
Will Cam Fowler win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.0770.030$0.61−$0.93
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.0760.083$0.59+$0.05
Will Isaac Brown be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? · Yes0.0460.023$0.51−$0.51
Will Brendan Sorsby be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader? · Yes0.0610.013$0.50−$1.94
Will Alex Sarr lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27? · Yes0.0500.025$0.49−$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:40Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Yashar + Together + YB + Democrats?SELL0.06$0.80
11-01 23:47Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?SELL0.895$8.95
11-01 23:46Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?SELL0.89$4.45
11-01 22:48Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.087$0.77
11-01 22:45Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m?SELL0.06$1.69
11-01 22:27Will the next Israeli government hold between 58 and 60 seats?SELL0.9$22.50
11-01 22:10Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.88$2.22
11-01 21:39Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.89$17.80
11-01 19:01Will Denny Hamlin win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?SELL0.896$17.92
11-01 16:09Will ERC win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.6983333333$41.90
11-01 16:08Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?SELL0.89$13.76
11-01 14:54Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?SELL0.05$1.00
11-01 13:18France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?SELL0.05$0.93
11-01 10:45Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?SELL0.082$1.64
11-01 03:15Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.011$0.27