0xE56466aca18266300b3f6B3e76073C32caCa0a9D-1773153107179
0xe56466aca18266300b3f6b3e76073c32caca0a9d
- Realised P&L
- $-22.98
- Volume
- $416.93
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $5.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.315 | $4.50 | −$0.50 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.070 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Under | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump say "China" during Monday news conference? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Up | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.82at 0.270Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
- +$3.48at 0.690Will Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?
- +$3.13at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$2.95at 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$2.90at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:43 | Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 19:42 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.115 | $5.23 |
| 09-10 18:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 05:01 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998252 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 16:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $4.79 |
| 09-03 08:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999702 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $6.18 |
| 09-03 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $6.24 |
| 09-03 08:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $1.91 |
| 09-03 08:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 08:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.06 |