0xe563e973b6cdf3d68175a873f46e6e55c41d2999
0xe563e973b6cdf3d68175a873f46e6e55c41d2999
- Realised P&L
- $-1.42
- Volume
- $322.93
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $3.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.765 | $2.02 | −$0.09 |
| Will Bank of America say "Recession" during earnings call? · No | 0.740 | 1.000 | $1.66 | +$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.699Will Trump post "Soccer" on Truth Social this week?
- +$0.00at 0.400Will "IPO" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
- +$0.00at 0.738Will Trump say "Jet Fuel" during remarks at the Pentagon?
- +$0.00at 0.748Will Trump say "My Father" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.00at 0.490Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:47 | Will Trump say "Reagan" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.11 |
| 09-28 19:29 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:29 | Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7699999465 | $2.16 |
| 09-23 14:49 | Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.8099999729 | $2.09 |
| 09-23 14:12 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3899998744 | $1.18 |
| 09-23 13:26 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7399998568 | $1.24 |
| 09-22 13:57 | Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:46 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7699999482 | $2.38 |
| 09-22 13:34 | Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7899999334 | $1.66 |
| 09-22 13:19 | Will Trump say "Regime Change" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 22:20 | Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.5599999277 | $1.24 |
| 09-15 22:05 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.729999966 | $1.29 |
| 09-15 21:58 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.24 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6199999163 | $1.63 |
| 09-15 12:22 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3799998758 | $1.04 |