nohorizon
0xe55c9ef93083cd3588a2d76785342bfd14cb6e19
- Realised P&L
- $0.03
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $27.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $9.50 | −$0.50 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.021 | $8.06 | −$1.94 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.036 | $6.85 | −$3.15 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.004 | $3.47 | −$6.53 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.75at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 18:35 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.0070603773 | $4.29 |
| 10-21 18:35 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.0026311487 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:34 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0525416572 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:34 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0129553033 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:33 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0254290932 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:29 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.0303308823 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $26.05 |
| 10-21 18:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $4.81 |
| 10-21 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $5.33 |
| 10-21 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $4.24 |