OPAGUMGUMGSTAR
0xe558e42fb0b17bb9889bfc23177ddcc42110cc31
- Realised P&L
- $-84.23
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $58.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.30at 0.590Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$16.27at 0.487Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$14.01at 0.457Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
- +$13.08at 0.639SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$9.18at 0.554Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 00:59 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7 | $22.40 |
| 09-15 00:58 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.57 | $6.84 |
| 09-15 00:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $29.97 |
| 09-07 16:43 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.57 | $9.57 |
| 09-07 16:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $15.60 |
| 09-01 02:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $19.95 |
| 07-10 21:25 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 07-10 21:18 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9975 | $39.90 |
| 07-10 01:07 | Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 07-09 04:25 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | SELL | 0.5710526316 | $20.07 |
| 07-09 00:56 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $24.34 |
| 07-09 00:56 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | SELL | 0.55 | $24.75 |
| 07-09 00:55 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $25.20 |
| 07-08 00:00 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 07-07 23:56 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |