User1244322
0xe558bb7b02ea489d772bd34f14cc845e391fdcd2
- Realised P&L
- $-550.4k
- Volume
- $16.95M
- Markets traded
- 919
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded919
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs. Oklahoma · Texas | 0.850 | 0.855 | $5.6k | +$32.75 |
| Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt · Vanderbilt | 0.030 | 0.001 | $3.31 | −$195.01 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$182.73 |
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State · New Mexico State | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$773.38 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$445.51 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries · Phoenix Mercury | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$469.31 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims) · Kauê Fernandes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati · Kansas State | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$885.50 |
| Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga · Flavio Cobolli | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.9k |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$561.00 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · San Diego Padres | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees · Baltimore Orioles | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.81 |
| Will Alex Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$308.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.6kat 0.455England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$113.0kat 0.435France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$69.5kat 0.503Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
- +$37.9kat 0.508Japan leading at halftime?
- +$36.4kat 0.355NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:45 | Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt | BUY | 0.03 | $198.33 |
| 10-10 20:41 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.25 | $1.1k |
| 10-10 20:26 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.85 | $9.4k |
| 10-10 19:56 | South Carolina vs. Florida | BUY | 0.966 | $15.1k |
| 10-10 17:14 | South Carolina vs. Florida | BUY | 0.08 | $828.93 |
| 10-10 04:46 | Spread: Iowa State (-8.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $445.50 |
| 10-10 04:45 | Spread: Iowa State (-8.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 10-10 04:42 | Iowa State vs. BYU | BUY | 0.035 | $2.5k |
| 10-10 02:15 | Spread: Florida State (-8.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $445.50 |
| 10-10 02:14 | Spread: Louisville (-8.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 10-10 02:14 | Spread: Louisville (-8.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $445.50 |
| 10-10 02:13 | Spread: Louisville (-8.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 10-10 02:00 | Spread: Iowa (-3.5) | BUY | 0.11 | $2.5k |
| 10-09 01:27 | Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.56 | $978.84 |
| 10-09 01:25 | Wizards vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.66 | $446.03 |