Chris1234a
0xe55771fef442dd283a7189ddc6be3a52d688ef86
- Realised P&L
- $-77.99
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $4.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.015 | $4.44 | −$16.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.18at 0.163Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$9.78at 0.551Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
- +$9.00at 0.250Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$7.71at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$6.89at 0.650Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 11:24 | Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3488621428 | $2.28 |
| 02-08 11:23 | Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.0527138156 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 21:58 | US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.0139999932 | $2.00 |
| 02-07 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999558 | $2.92 |
| 02-06 05:04 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | BUY | 0.0765217219 | $4.00 |
| 02-06 05:01 | Will Solana dip to $50 in February? | BUY | 0.2491694352 | $3.00 |
| 02-06 05:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? | BUY | 0.096 | $3.00 |
| 02-02 13:45 | Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8) | BUY | 0.2899999892 | $11.81 |
| 02-02 13:43 | Will PayPal say "E-Commerce" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.1857596641 | $10.00 |
| 02-01 16:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0050114428 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 16:47 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | BUY | 0.0828115346 | $16.60 |
| 02-01 11:20 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of February? | BUY | 0.249660433 | $15.20 |
| 02-01 11:12 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999917 | $12.50 |
| 02-01 11:00 | Will Artemis II launch by February 7? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-01 10:51 | Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | BUY | 0.6499999873 | $12.80 |