macann
0xe5554c0ddb96628641f079edb419fb47fb2ea91d
- Realised P&L
- $7.7k
- Volume
- $3.74M
- Markets traded
- 449
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded449
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.8kat 0.080Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?
- +$2.0kat 0.175US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.334US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.061US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.267Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 13:05 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.675976095 | $453.57 |
| 10-15 23:40 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.50 |
| 10-15 23:31 | Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 10-15 23:30 | Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.6115741586 | $388.51 |
| 10-15 21:30 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.0625839996 | $215.10 |
| 10-15 13:14 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.304827434 | $317.69 |
| 10-15 00:13 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.09 | $398.88 |
| 10-14 23:53 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $444.25 |
| 10-14 23:52 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.43 |
| 10-14 23:48 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 10-14 23:46 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $465.19 |
| 10-14 15:32 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0080682408 | $15.37 |
| 10-13 18:19 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $428.18 |
| 10-13 10:54 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-13 10:54 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |