0xe5479861150216729DD4c2B1f5FcDc6E94ad271d-1775312774687
0xe5479861150216729dd4c2b1f5fcdc6e94ad271d
- Realised P&L
- $97.56
- Volume
- $83.1k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $66.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.07at 0.086Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 26?
- +$148.62at 0.081Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 18?
- +$141.19at 0.051Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 17?
- +$97.03at 0.020Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 6?
- +$94.55at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.179249875 | $10.75 |
| 09-18 22:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0615477781 | $7.37 |
| 09-18 07:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.101933451 | $4.04 |
| 09-18 07:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.38 |
| 09-18 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.21 |
| 09-16 16:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.62 |
| 09-14 16:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.15 | $11.38 |
| 09-14 16:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 09-13 20:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.21 |
| 09-11 21:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.02 |
| 09-10 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.8193713388 | $57.35 |
| 09-10 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-10 14:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.117961 | $23.59 |
| 09-10 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.037843 | $3.78 |