Z67
0xe5416e0f10088e4c59f2a8e686cdb8aba7dbd45d
- Realised P&L
- $-29.2k
- Volume
- $1.63M
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $79.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane? · Yes | 0.549 | 0.390 | $79.69 | −$32.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.5kat 0.564Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$13.4kat 0.997US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$10.4kat 0.610Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$10.2kat 0.540Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
- +$10.1kat 0.171US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:14 | Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane? | BUY | 0.5486405011 | $112.11 |
| 09-21 08:52 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.8488719803 | $98.00 |
| 09-21 05:44 | Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.27 |
| 09-21 05:43 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | SELL | 0.1624720291 | $92.07 |
| 09-20 16:15 | Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0185598886 | $1.67 |
| 09-20 15:48 | Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $108.00 |
| 05-30 06:51 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.95 |
| 05-30 06:51 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 03:31 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.936 | $9.3k |
| 05-27 07:27 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.946 | $21.0k |
| 05-24 13:54 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.38 |
| 05-24 13:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 05-24 13:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 06:38 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24? | BUY | 0.43 | $7.3k |
| 05-24 05:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.01 |