harMegiddo
0xe53370d75548443a11e95d81825220eaf1d87df0
- Realised P&L
- $10.10
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $214.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.964 | 0.962 | $55.22 | −$0.14 |
| Huddle FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.971 | 0.969 | $53.29 | −$0.11 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.965 | $53.08 | −$0.71 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.961 | 0.959 | $52.72 | −$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.930Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
- +$1.27at 0.975Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$1.17at 0.969Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?
- +$1.07at 0.962Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
- +$0.87at 0.952Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 10:53 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | BUY | 0.9299999807 | $21.24 |