PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

umqpt7cqb

0xe52d11097b34b549bc01aa10759d12fd40e2b4db

Realised P&L
$27.06
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$31.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.3100.805$12.54+$7.71
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.8000.795$9.88−$0.06
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.8500.961$5.65+$0.65
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.935$2.05+$0.05
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0160.005$0.61−$1.33
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.1870.011$0.40−$6.81
Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.0800.001$0.12−$19.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 17:49Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.0800957097$19.25
09-24 17:49Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.53$8.26
09-23 14:55Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?SELL0.035$0.70
09-21 19:09Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.983$5.50
09-21 12:40Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?BUY0.1872494403$7.21
09-10 20:36Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?SELL0.0244926279$0.56
08-21 17:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.68$19.68
08-15 12:53Will Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess?BUY0.1957763687$4.80
08-14 17:37Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?SELL0.2537572254$2.63
08-14 17:29Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?SELL0.39$4.05
08-14 16:41Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.22$9.64
08-14 16:41Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2209999865$9.69
08-14 15:51Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess?BUY0.219999968$4.81
08-14 15:37Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?SELL0.37$7.68
08-13 16:28Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?BUY0.4213131142$4.85