umqpt7cqb
0xe52d11097b34b549bc01aa10759d12fd40e2b4db
- Realised P&L
- $27.06
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $31.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.805 | $12.54 | +$7.71 |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.800 | 0.795 | $9.88 | −$0.06 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.961 | $5.65 | +$0.65 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.935 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.005 | $0.61 | −$1.33 |
| Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.011 | $0.40 | −$6.81 |
| Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$19.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.91at 0.312Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$25.95at 0.037US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$24.41at 0.170US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$13.15at 0.427MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$12.61at 0.704Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:49 | Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.0800957097 | $19.25 |
| 09-24 17:49 | Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.53 | $8.26 |
| 09-23 14:55 | Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.70 |
| 09-21 19:09 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.983 | $5.50 |
| 09-21 12:40 | Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? | BUY | 0.1872494403 | $7.21 |
| 09-10 20:36 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.? | SELL | 0.0244926279 | $0.56 |
| 08-21 17:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.68 | $19.68 |
| 08-15 12:53 | Will Denis Lazavik Win EWC 2026 Chess? | BUY | 0.1957763687 | $4.80 |
| 08-14 17:37 | Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess? | SELL | 0.2537572254 | $2.63 |
| 08-14 17:29 | Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.05 |
| 08-14 16:41 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.22 | $9.64 |
| 08-14 16:41 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2209999865 | $9.69 |
| 08-14 15:51 | Will Alireza Firouzja Win EWC 2026 Chess? | BUY | 0.219999968 | $4.81 |
| 08-14 15:37 | Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.68 |
| 08-13 16:28 | Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess? | BUY | 0.4213131142 | $4.85 |