PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe51b3d64da5b0b8a07a55f8bb3c3170237f73cad-1793294497456

0xe51b3d64da5b0b8a07a55f8bb3c3170237f73cad

Realised P&L
$14.7k
Volume
$1.27M
Markets traded
4,502
Open portfolio
$8.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,502
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.8410.945$4.5k+$495.20
Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.8040.872$3.7k+$284.22
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.8410.954$438.84+$51.76
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Down0.5850.000$0.00−$234.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.9700.000$0.00−$97.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.5850.000$0.00−$117.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$27.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.7630.000$0.00−$228.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00−$12.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up0.8900.000$0.00−$246.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$22.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00−$122.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.2090.000$0.00−$20.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.6660.000$0.00−$66.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 02:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.908$9.99
11-02 01:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-02 00:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 23:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 22:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 21:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 20:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 19:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 18:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 17:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 16:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.913$10.04
11-01 15:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.9124509091$10.04
11-01 14:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.912$10.03
11-01 13:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.90536$9.96
11-01 12:44Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.905$9.96