PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SEGA

0xe516316fe7367e2e11989f364381bc094d211d81

Realised P&L
$-37.97
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
246
Open portfolio
$44.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded246
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.3710.265$14.29$5.71
Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.8400.310$7.09$12.11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.685$6.85+$1.85
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.4800.485$5.05+$0.05
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.8000.780$4.88$0.13
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes0.7200.595$4.13$0.87
Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2026 · No0.9300.990$2.13+$0.13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2200.045$0.20$0.80
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.2400.000$0.00$1.40
Dodgers vs. Phillies · Phillies0.5200.000$0.00$11.20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$7.70
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25? · No0.5700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:52Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.315581854$10.00
09-05 20:35Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
09-05 14:54Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
09-05 14:54Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
09-05 14:54Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.8$5.00
09-05 14:46Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.068$0.45
09-04 15:57Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?BUY0.6599999604$5.00
09-01 12:33Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$5.00
09-01 12:33Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-24 20:56Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.138$2.00
08-24 20:52Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1389999422$2.00
08-24 09:36Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.053$1.13
08-24 09:35Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.072$1.31
08-24 09:35Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.197$2.71
08-19 13:06Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1479998905$1.00