Pyctorico
0xe50f882498e8da1a3f0ba90c978b9a0082a0e094
- Realised P&L
- $-8.75
- Volume
- $97.49
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.982 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.170 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.099 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.417 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.565 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No | 0.293 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.544Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?
- +$1.26at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$0.22at 0.820DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?
- +$0.16at 0.860Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
- +$0.12at 0.890Iran leadership change by March 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 00:55 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.417499858 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 00:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5649999152 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 22:51 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 07:57 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 06:17 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $0.97 |
| 04-14 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15? | BUY | 0.54 | $0.95 |
| 04-14 03:17 | Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 03:13 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.2929998172 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 01:22 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 21:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13? | BUY | 0.8599995356 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 21:39 | Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1759998606 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 21:38 | Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 21:35 | Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | BUY | 0.1639998891 | $1.00 |
| 03-11 21:33 | Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0255684061 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 05:18 | Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |