PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Pyctorico

0xe50f882498e8da1a3f0ba90c978b9a0082a0e094

Realised P&L
$-8.75
Volume
$97.49
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$2.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.982$1.02+$0.02
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.1800.170$0.94$0.06
Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1760.099$0.56$0.44
Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00$1.00
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4170.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5650.000$0.00$1.00
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.2930.000$0.00$1.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.1200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 00:55Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5BUY0.417499858$1.00
07-12 00:52Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5649999152$1.00
06-30 22:51Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
04-16 07:57Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
04-14 06:17Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?BUY0.4199998236$0.97
04-14 03:32Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?BUY0.54$0.95
04-14 03:17Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
04-14 03:13Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.2929998172$1.00
03-13 01:22Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
03-11 21:59Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?BUY0.8599995356$1.00
03-11 21:39Probable FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.1759998606$1.00
03-11 21:38Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
03-11 21:35Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?BUY0.1639998891$1.00
03-11 21:33Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?BUY0.0255684061$1.00
03-10 05:18Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?BUY0.3799999012$1.00