0xe50a34249611228881a9e64163b4a2a7a122bf68
0xe50a34249611228881a9e64163b4a2a7a122bf68
- Realised P&L
- $0.93
- Volume
- $257.52
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $4.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · No | 0.350 | 1.000 | $2.86 | +$1.86 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.265 | $0.66 | −$0.34 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.872Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 21:12 | Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 23:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 23:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 23:29 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 23:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |