Fraggy
0xe50523941d5ea0ba5f0c7abcd62aa6cf0ef8ce50
- Realised P&L
- $357.17
- Volume
- $40.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.240 | 0.125 | $2.4k | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.4622024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
- +$1.0kat 0.540Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$142.09at 0.148Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
- +$-8.18at 0.1582024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
- +$-483.41at 0.192Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 22:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1549885531 | $61.86 |
| 12-11 20:30 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2876595812 | $2.3k |
| 12-09 22:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2220770421 | $1.1k |
| 12-07 12:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1964668204 | $1.1k |
| 11-06 15:33 | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | SELL | 0.9382593719 | $3.7k |
| 11-06 10:24 | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.147 | $105.36 |
| 10-30 11:33 | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | BUY | 0.4599999995 | $262.09 |
| 10-30 11:33 | Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2099999994 | $250.00 |
| 10-28 13:13 | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.1584094873 | $113.54 |
| 10-28 13:13 | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 22:07 | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | BUY | 0.48 | $637.08 |
| 10-27 22:07 | Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.19 | $637.09 |
| 10-25 15:05 | Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2 | $133.41 |
| 10-25 15:05 | Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1799999989 | $125.00 |
| 10-16 12:47 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5979999992 | $299.54 |