tradhawk
0xe5031e5d58bf34e0970686ba07b1eef153b05260
- Realised P&L
- $-29.33
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 807
- Open portfolio
- $339.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded807
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.03at 0.782Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28?
- +$49.59at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$36.67at 0.750Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
- +$36.22at 0.820Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
- +$33.35at 0.677Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.8779999723 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 20:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.9959999987 | $290.00 |
| 10-31 20:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $311.00 |
| 10-30 20:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.9942334109 | $310.00 |
| 10-29 20:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $306.00 |
| 10-28 20:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.9952324107 | $285.00 |
| 10-28 20:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 29? | BUY | 0.8899999982 | $15.00 |
| 10-27 20:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 28? | BUY | 0.7699999996 | $233.64 |
| 10-26 20:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27? | BUY | 0.992 | $236.00 |
| 10-25 20:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26? | BUY | 0.9926731815 | $233.00 |
| 10-24 19:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 19:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25? | BUY | 0.9942427294 | $230.00 |
| 10-23 21:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24? | BUY | 0.9809999998 | $60.00 |
| 10-23 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |