Dilanmontano
0xe4fb23afae88dc2d2916f4354da896e5ef864ce4
- Realised P&L
- $-79.11
- Volume
- $859.69
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $2.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.065 | $2.05 | −$2.95 |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.26 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.33 |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.88at 0.320Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela
- +$11.47at 0.472Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$9.70at 0.612Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$7.39at 0.552Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
- +$6.03at 0.457Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 18:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.52 | $39.26 |
| 07-12 15:47 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 15:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3799999863 | $15.00 |
| 07-12 00:24 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 18:52 | Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 23:13 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 07-10 04:40 | Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999891 | $8.92 |
| 07-04 01:12 | Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4399999746 | $8.33 |
| 06-23 18:09 | Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4299999842 | $9.00 |
| 06-20 22:18 | Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 22:16 | Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 03:23 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 03:16 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 20:00 | Will Putin visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 04:56 | Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | BUY | 0.1584566324 | $5.00 |