PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dilanmontano

0xe4fb23afae88dc2d2916f4354da896e5ef864ce4

Realised P&L
$-79.11
Volume
$859.69
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$2.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? · Yes0.1580.065$2.05−$2.95
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$10.00
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$10.00
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$9.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$39.26
Will Putin visit China by May 31? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$8.33
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 18:49Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$39.26
07-12 15:47Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
07-12 15:46Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3799999863$15.00
07-12 00:24Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4599999844$10.00
07-11 18:52Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?BUY0.289999964$5.00
07-10 23:13Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6$15.00
07-10 04:40Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999891$8.92
07-04 01:12Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4399999746$8.33
06-23 18:09Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4299999842$9.00
06-20 22:18Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.359999987$10.00
06-20 22:16Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4399999894$10.00
06-20 03:23Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.289999964$5.00
06-20 03:16Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.449999955$5.00
05-17 20:00Will Putin visit China by May 31?BUY0.003$1.00
04-01 04:56Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?BUY0.1584566324$5.00