notGandolfini
0xe4fb10b125b9444e2dfd4e20592cffedd2699241
- Realised P&L
- $-418.42
- Volume
- $42.0k
- Markets traded
- 589
- Open portfolio
- $5.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded589
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.41at 0.013Exact Score: Coventry City FC 4 - 1 Newcastle United FC?
- +$38.34at 0.135Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
- +$38.04at 0.179Dogecoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$37.45at 0.592Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Group Stage
- +$36.75at 0.532Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 23:26 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0492458181 | $11.30 |
| 10-21 22:03 | Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.33 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 20:31 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0639218505 | $14.67 |
| 10-20 21:58 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.20 |
| 10-20 21:58 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air? | BUY | 0.989 | $8.88 |
| 10-20 21:57 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 10-20 21:48 | Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air? | BUY | 0.9837695267 | $25.57 |
| 10-20 19:00 | Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-20 18:59 | Will Democrats win 7 or 8 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.90 |
| 10-20 18:56 | Will Democrats win 7 or 8 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.42 | $7.47 |
| 10-20 18:56 | Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-20 18:55 | Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 21? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-20 18:54 | Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.2790909091 | $6.14 |
| 10-20 16:45 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 10-20 15:45 | Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.46 |