0xe4f9e64d27c5fc79f35a5cbbbfcd9e3cedd49ab0
0xe4f9e64d27c5fc79f35a5cbbbfcd9e3cedd49ab0
- Realised P&L
- $-272.13
- Volume
- $74.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,232
- Open portfolio
- $468.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,232
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? · No | 0.807 | 0.910 | $203.42 | +$22.99 |
| Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.980 | $155.88 | +$23.79 |
| Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week? · No | 0.907 | 0.935 | $45.52 | +$1.35 |
| Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.880 | $23.01 | −$0.78 |
| Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.915 | $18.14 | +$0.29 |
| Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? · No | 0.910 | 0.935 | $16.14 | +$0.43 |
| Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week? · No | 0.910 | 0.895 | $6.69 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$183.04at 0.454Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?
- +$167.90at 0.569Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?
- +$125.07at 0.574Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?
- +$124.24at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 26?
- +$93.51at 0.730Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:20 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.67 | $43.08 |
| 09-21 18:20 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.673272284 | $107.71 |
| 09-20 22:43 | Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $121.61 |
| 09-20 03:18 | Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.91 |
| 09-11 13:48 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $25.73 |
| 09-11 13:47 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 12 million views this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $44.00 |
| 09-10 11:31 | Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.76 |
| 09-10 10:25 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.70 |
| 09-10 10:19 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.91 | $196.03 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.50 |
| 08-01 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.41 |
| 07-30 10:39 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.46 |
| 07-30 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.3724492754 | $2.57 |
| 07-30 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.34 |
| 07-29 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.629018164 | $51.25 |