0xPolymarketAnon
0xe4f5305ba3cc55013196ad7888e427c06e239663
- Realised P&L
- $-100.7k
- Volume
- $18.97M
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $36.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.2kat 0.105Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
- +$15.6kat 0.193Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$9.5kat 0.021Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$2.1kat 0.187Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
- +$-25.00at 0.044US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:26 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.0k |
| 11-01 14:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.5k |
| 11-01 13:19 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.37 | $5.5k |
| 11-01 13:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.38 | $6.4k |
| 11-01 04:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 04:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.41 | $4.1k |
| 11-01 00:14 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.5k |
| 10-28 19:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $500.00 |
| 10-28 19:14 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.0499449933 | $749.17 |
| 10-28 19:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.048257816 | $723.87 |
| 10-28 17:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.029892 | $747.30 |
| 10-27 16:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.24 | $240.00 |
| 10-27 16:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.24 | $60.00 |
| 10-27 16:46 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.2k |
| 10-26 19:54 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $13.1k |