PolyBot

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Traders

0xPolymarketAnon

0xe4f5305ba3cc55013196ad7888e427c06e239663

Realised P&L
$-100.7k
Volume
$18.97M
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$36.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2680.365$16.9k+$4.5k
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.305$15.2k+$250.36
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0500.055$3.5k+$315.96
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.0730.007$375.00−$3.3k
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$74.63
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$508.68
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$252.55
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$89.62
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$863.34
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$372.07
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$125.28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · No0.1080.000$0.00−$2.7k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00−$14.5k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1430.000$0.00−$3.6k
Iran Nuke in 2025? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$895.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:26Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$12.0k
11-01 14:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.35$17.5k
11-01 13:19Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.37$5.5k
11-01 13:18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.38$6.4k
11-01 04:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.41$2.3k
11-01 04:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.41$4.1k
11-01 00:14Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.41$3.5k
10-28 19:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.05$500.00
10-28 19:14US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.0499449933$749.17
10-28 19:13US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.048257816$723.87
10-28 17:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.029892$747.30
10-27 16:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.24$240.00
10-27 16:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.24$60.00
10-27 16:46Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.24$7.2k
10-26 19:54Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.28$13.1k