0xe4e76da0fd8330cc886e43c0091b94d2bf00c068
- Realised P&L
- $-46.64
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $7.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $7.74 | −$38.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.50at 0.700Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?
- +$3.58at 0.220Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 16?
- +$2.08at 0.250Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?
- +$2.06at 0.490Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?
- +$1.81at 0.079Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on February 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-17 19:17 | Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.6m & 14.8m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.19 |
| 02-17 19:17 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.88 |
| 02-17 19:17 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.27 |
| 02-17 19:17 | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28? | SELL | 0.0150257599 | $0.29 |
| 02-17 19:17 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.42 |
| 02-17 19:17 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.58 |
| 02-17 19:17 | Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.72 |
| 02-17 19:17 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.79 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.134 | $0.83 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.30 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Weed rescheduled by March 31? | SELL | 0.052 | $0.86 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.943 | $1.97 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $0.98 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.98 |
| 02-17 19:16 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.99 |