PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe4e76da0fd8330cc886e43c0091b94d2bf00c068

Realised P&L
$-46.64
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$7.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.002$7.74$38.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-17 19:17Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14.6m & 14.8m square kilometers?SELL0.03$0.19
02-17 19:17Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?SELL0.04$0.88
02-17 19:17Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?SELL0.36$1.27
02-17 19:17U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?SELL0.0150257599$0.29
02-17 19:17Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.21$5.42
02-17 19:17Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?SELL0.16$1.58
02-17 19:17Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.15$0.72
02-17 19:17Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$1.79
02-17 19:16Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?SELL0.134$0.83
02-17 19:16Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.24$1.30
02-17 19:16Weed rescheduled by March 31?SELL0.052$0.86
02-17 19:16Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL0.943$1.97
02-17 19:16Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.43$0.98
02-17 19:16Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.88$0.98
02-17 19:16Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.81$0.99