0xe4e73d887AC5E44fBC140C839E3033C3a4Eb17C3-1775133364090
0xe4e73d887ac5e44fbc140c839e3033c3a4eb17c3
- Realised P&L
- $-179.17
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $19.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.013 | $7.45 | −$12.55 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.045 | $5.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.035 | $3.64 | −$16.36 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.175 | $3.27 | −$7.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Down | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.92at 0.424Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$1.68at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$1.04at 0.614Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
- +$0.46at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$-1.82at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 12:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999985 | $10.45 |
| 04-21 12:47 | Will Solana dip to $60 in April? | SELL | 0.0205582639 | $5.23 |
| 04-21 12:47 | Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | SELL | 0.07 | $2.90 |
| 04-21 12:47 | Will Solana dip to $50 in April? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.97 |
| 04-04 15:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 04-04 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $12.90 |
| 04-04 15:09 | Will Solana dip to $60 in April? | BUY | 0.1362999709 | $11.38 |
| 04-04 14:59 | Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $2.76 |
| 04-04 14:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1894770361 | $20.00 |
| 04-04 14:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 04-04 14:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 04-04 13:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0362319533 | $20.00 |
| 04-04 13:00 | Will Solana dip to $50 in April? | BUY | 0.0699999839 | $3.46 |
| 04-04 12:59 | Will Solana dip to $50 in April? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $8.66 |
| 04-04 12:56 | Will Solana dip to $70 in April? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $4.59 |