PolyBot

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Traders

0xe4df6f8df7ea953d63fb28272b792ebe41a939d9

0xe4df6f8df7ea953d63fb28272b792ebe41a939d9

Realised P&L
$19.0k
Volume
$77.1k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar24.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1990.195$5.9k−$115.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 10:13Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.198810991$6.0k
07-09 04:06Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8307478571$2.6k
07-09 03:44Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7998259805$9.6k
06-30 03:42Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9940996795$8.4k
06-19 10:10Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8359767257$3.1k
06-15 03:02Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7879971093$3.8k
06-04 00:59Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL0.9928889474$22.4k
06-01 03:37Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.17$1.6k
05-28 15:56Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY0.2877114951$3.7k