0xe4df6f8df7ea953d63fb28272b792ebe41a939d9
0xe4df6f8df7ea953d63fb28272b792ebe41a939d9
- Realised P&L
- $19.0k
- Volume
- $77.1k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.195 | $5.9k | −$115.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.7kat 0.254Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$2.3kat 0.845Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
- +$960.53at 0.841Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 10:13 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.198810991 | $6.0k |
| 07-09 04:06 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8307478571 | $2.6k |
| 07-09 03:44 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7998259805 | $9.6k |
| 06-30 03:42 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9940996795 | $8.4k |
| 06-19 10:10 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8359767257 | $3.1k |
| 06-15 03:02 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7879971093 | $3.8k |
| 06-04 00:59 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | SELL | 0.9928889474 | $22.4k |
| 06-01 03:37 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.17 | $1.6k |
| 05-28 15:56 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.2877114951 | $3.7k |