PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

piza

0xe4db3c6c367ee64579371439c8369b93fc7b779d

Realised P&L
$-55.55
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$41.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.7000.485$20.79−$9.21
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2800.950$19.95+$14.07
Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1200.011$0.35−$3.49
Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$31.00
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$8.50
Will AfD win 36 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$2.25
Will AfD win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$2.03
Will AfD win 46-49 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$6.00
Will AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$2.02
Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$6.80
Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$2.01
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$13.50
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$5.88
Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.04
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 17:16Will AfD win 36 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.075$2.25
08-23 17:16Will AfD win 24-27 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.059$2.01
08-23 17:09Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.28$5.88
08-23 17:08Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.34$6.80
08-23 17:07Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.28$5.88
08-23 17:06Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.12$3.84
08-23 17:06Will AfD win 23-25 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.032$1.28
08-23 17:04Will AfD win 20-22 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.039$2.03
08-23 17:03Will AfD win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.004$0.84
06-03 01:13Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.6999999837$30.00
06-03 01:12Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.2$20.00
02-27 01:18Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?SELL0.987$155.95
02-13 12:58Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?BUY0.62$31.00