jhmfxx
0xe4d1c293fb0c9dbf1820281f3fa292fb831170bb
- Realised P&L
- $82.17
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $518.92 | −$2.77 |
| Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? · No | 0.951 | 0.962 | $370.37 | +$4.24 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.482 | 0.483 | $156.97 | +$0.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.16at 0.760Will Trump visit China by June 30?
- +$28.90at 0.877Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
- +$5.00at 0.620Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$-0.96at 0.936Modi out by December 31, 2026?
- +$-2.93at 0.698Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 12:48 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.482 | $156.65 |
| 07-28 11:54 | Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.951 | $366.13 |
| 07-21 09:22 | Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $521.70 |
| 04-24 12:18 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.69 | $252.53 |
| 04-21 11:31 | Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.877 | $372.73 |
| 04-19 01:34 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.6979999997 | $255.46 |
| 04-02 07:32 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $654.04 |
| 03-28 02:34 | Will Trump visit China by June 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $598.88 |
| 03-17 08:12 | Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.19 | $57.00 |
| 03-17 08:10 | Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.2 | $60.00 |