0xSamir
0xe4d08535f56f3b0608e706022d9006da8b29b168
- Realised P&L
- $-717.44
- Volume
- $53.5k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $19.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modi out by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $19.80 | −$0.60 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.12 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.85 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.363 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.44at 0.593Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$71.24at 0.287France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
- +$56.41at 0.154Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$44.10at 0.316Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$37.85at 0.216Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 05:37 | Modi out by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $20.40 |
| 07-07 18:10 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $27.74 |
| 07-07 16:12 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 14:19 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.027 | $13.50 |
| 07-06 19:43 | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 18:26 | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 14:58 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 19:42 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 19:20 | Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $32.57 |
| 07-03 17:15 | Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $15.00 |
| 07-03 16:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 20:36 | Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 19:16 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.42 | $25.01 |
| 06-29 19:12 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.04 |
| 06-29 18:15 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |