rusgreat
0xe4c6fd9bf15dcb10a8292d9d897bd4f9992d24cf
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $1.18M
- Markets traded
- 941
- Open portfolio
- $1.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded941
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.748Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on April 8?
- +$3.5kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?
- +$3.2kat 0.750Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?
- +$2.8kat 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 03:44 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.75 | $193.87 |
| 09-10 03:43 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7601639344 | $463.70 |
| 09-09 07:50 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $793.34 |
| 08-01 14:46 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 18:52 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.8689675325 | $133.82 |
| 07-30 18:49 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.857 | $8.56 |
| 07-30 18:49 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.8559812098 | $174.47 |
| 07-30 18:49 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.852 | $57.56 |
| 07-30 18:47 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.998 | $556.28 |
| 07-27 05:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.1k |
| 07-22 10:17 | Over $50M committed to the RipCars public sale? | BUY | 0.8882388649 | $936.49 |
| 07-17 11:49 | Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.9 | $225.00 |
| 07-16 06:41 | Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale? | BUY | 0.74 | $166.50 |
| 07-16 06:35 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.641 | $792.92 |
| 07-16 06:35 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.34 | $419.75 |