PolyBot

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Traders

rusgreat

0xe4c6fd9bf15dcb10a8292d9d897bd4f9992d24cf

Realised P&L
$5.9k
Volume
$1.18M
Markets traded
941
Open portfolio
$1.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded941
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? · Yes0.0060.003$0.97$1.35
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? · Yes0.0120.003$0.30$1.15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0170.002$0.28$2.91
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? · Yes0.0080.002$0.17$0.74
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$555.20
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$33.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$10.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$20.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$104.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$82.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$54.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$118.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 03:44LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.75$193.87
09-10 03:43LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.7601639344$463.70
09-09 07:50LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.9$793.34
08-01 14:46U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.002$10.00
07-30 18:52U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8689675325$133.82
07-30 18:49U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.857$8.56
07-30 18:49U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8559812098$174.47
07-30 18:49U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.852$57.56
07-30 18:47GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.998$556.28
07-27 05:13Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$1.1k
07-22 10:17Over $50M committed to the RipCars public sale?BUY0.8882388649$936.49
07-17 11:49Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.9$225.00
07-16 06:41Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?BUY0.74$166.50
07-16 06:35Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.641$792.92
07-16 06:35Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.34$419.75