PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x72D

0xe4c2593bd42af460d8583355da1d2ba6619aa11a

Realised P&L
$365.02
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$0.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12? · Yes0.0270.001$0.05−$2.81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? · No0.1800.001$0.01−$4.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 13:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?SELL0.999$22.94
10-12 03:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 12?BUY0.0274920635$2.86
10-12 03:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?BUY0.51$2.55
10-11 05:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?SELL0.5456011202$27.27
10-11 04:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?BUY0.0660813953$2.84
10-10 23:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?BUY0.3637223008$15.43
10-10 03:44Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9?SELL0.999$41.44
10-09 07:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?SELL0.1413333333$8.48
10-09 04:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?SELL0.2763914668$22.93
10-08 07:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8?SELL0.01$0.50
10-08 00:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8?SELL0.54$9.51
10-07 06:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.06$0.18
10-05 05:52Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 5?BUY0.6754823786$49.64
10-04 12:56Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 4?BUY0.305$3.05
09-29 17:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?BUY0.4$20.00