0xe4C08D75A06668f7C1f536A6130d688C7f34F86A-1778120503130
0xe4c08d75a06668f7c1f536a6130d688c7f34f86a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $121.1k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $414.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $105 on October 21? · No | 0.910 | 0.948 | $414.30 | +$16.61 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on October 12? · No | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| XRP Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.21 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 26? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$298.69 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 15? · No | 0.796 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$467.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.31at 0.894Will Solana reach $115 on September 18?
- +$250.93at 0.765Will Solana dip to $105 on October 13?
- +$238.56at 0.858Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15?
- +$160.15at 0.946Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 20?
- +$152.60at 0.925Solana Up or Down on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:09 | Will Solana dip to $105 on October 21? | BUY | 0.91 | $397.70 |
| 10-21 04:04 | XRP Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.59 |
| 10-21 04:00 | XRP Up or Down on October 21? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 10-20 08:26 | Will Solana dip to $100 on October 20? | BUY | 0.86 | $145.53 |
| 10-20 08:25 | Will Solana dip to $100 on October 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 10-20 08:25 | Will Solana dip to $100 on October 20? | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 10-20 08:21 | Will Solana dip to $100 on October 20? | BUY | 0.84 | $47.88 |
| 10-20 04:04 | Solana Up or Down on October 20? | BUY | 0.73 | $351.77 |
| 10-20 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $341.66 |
| 10-20 03:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $294.12 |
| 10-20 02:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.9366480421 | $201.16 |
| 10-20 01:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-15 03:58 | Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $273.68 |
| 10-15 03:57 | Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 15? | BUY | 0.79 | $71.10 |
| 10-15 03:57 | Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 15? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |