MartyMcFly101
0xe4bd8aeaf0145b291bb7040bba9a67391e77b0c0
- Realised P&L
- $-19.71
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.99at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$2.50at 0.283Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$1.82at 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$1.72at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$1.42at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-15 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.0863114726 | $1.17 |
| 10-15 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be 75°F or below on October 16? | BUY | 0.1379999979 | $1.17 |
| 10-15 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.1699999836 | $1.14 |
| 10-15 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15? | SELL | 0.3181833061 | $1.94 |
| 10-14 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.1799999738 | $1.10 |
| 10-14 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 10-14 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.0479999993 | $1.13 |
| 10-14 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1525233645 | $1.02 |
| 10-14 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0443801495 | $1.13 |
| 10-14 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 10-13 21:56 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C or higher on October 15? | BUY | 0.0449114886 | $1.13 |
| 10-12 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-21 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $4.20 |