julios92
0xe4b06e41385f39d6ec0c683bbfe177254d87dda4
- Realised P&L
- $-15.00
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $9.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 2? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.250 | $4.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 2? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.470 | $2.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.320 | $2.46 | −$0.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.26at 0.081Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
- +$4.94at 0.603Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$4.55at 0.380Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 2?
- +$4.53at 0.703Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
- +$3.58at 0.644Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 12:39 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $2.50 |
| 08-19 07:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.06 |
| 04-06 05:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199997881 | $1.08 |
| 04-06 02:02 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.9469994967 | $1.08 |
| 04-06 00:16 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.789999466 | $1.08 |
| 04-05 14:33 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.8699999033 | $1.08 |
| 04-05 14:31 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999283 | $1.08 |
| 04-05 14:02 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.08 |
| 04-01 22:01 | Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.9099999398 | $5.29 |
| 03-31 05:49 | BitBoy convicted? | BUY | 0.350293088 | $1.89 |
| 03-27 21:05 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999166 | $1.61 |
| 03-27 21:04 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.64 |
| 03-27 21:01 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999529 | $2.60 |