PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE4AFFF487E23522e0C25c67d6C72aDA30ac9A344-1767683401365

0xe4afff487e23522e0c25c67d6c72ada30ac9a344

Realised P&L
$-293.67
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$32.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Sociedad reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal? · Yes0.2430.295$6.07+$1.07
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0700.065$5.56−$0.43
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0380.037$4.93−$0.07
Will Netherlands win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.0600.055$4.58−$0.42
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0240.022$4.58−$0.42
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0800.065$4.06−$0.94
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3500.045$3.04−$20.64
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4520.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 20:04Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0699999996$5.99
10-10 19:53Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0379999998$5.00
10-10 19:48Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0239999999$5.00
10-10 19:46Will Netherlands win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
10-10 19:45Will Real Sociedad reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?BUY0.2430555505$5.00
10-10 19:44Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?BUY0.08$5.00
06-15 21:58Will Ecuador finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?BUY0.0549710823$9.98
06-15 21:57Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
06-15 21:53Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4518361823$50.00
06-15 21:52Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999984$30.00
03-11 09:46Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?BUY0.3699999894$14.28
03-11 09:41Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?BUY0.045$5.00
03-11 09:39Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?BUY0.1390007648$10.00
02-18 18:32Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?BUY0.5799999972$50.31
02-18 18:31Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.2496480499$50.00