mechtatel
0xe4ad8476eef71b072174e19b7ade1e2ff14a5647
- Realised P&L
- $-242.82
- Volume
- $81.9k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $70.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$474.75at 0.150Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
- +$132.29at 0.232Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
- +$127.20at 0.050Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$74.39at 0.190Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$71.07at 0.460Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 00:13 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 04-08 00:06 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $30.00 |
| 04-07 20:43 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.006 | $20.00 |
| 04-07 20:33 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $20.00 |
| 04-07 20:32 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 19:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2799999895 | $15.00 |
| 04-07 19:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.0479999955 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 19:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.0479999982 | $25.00 |
| 04-07 19:23 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 19:23 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.005 | $25.00 |
| 04-06 22:27 | Will France win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.1009999829 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 22:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.63 |
| 04-06 22:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 03-23 11:21 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 11:15 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |