PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mechtatel

0xe4ad8476eef71b072174e19b7ade1e2ff14a5647

Realised P&L
$-242.82
Volume
$81.9k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$70.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0700.085$30.29+$5.29
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes0.2501.000$19.25+$14.44
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · Yes0.0350.017$8.49$9.51
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0700.038$6.51$5.49
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0400.013$3.25$6.75
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.078$2.44$2.56
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? · Yes0.0950.004$0.37$9.63
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$22.00
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$2.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$16.00
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-08 00:13US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.002$5.00
04-08 00:06US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$30.00
04-07 20:43US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.006$20.00
04-07 20:33US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.005$20.00
04-07 20:32US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.005$10.00
04-07 19:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.2799999895$15.00
04-07 19:23Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0479999955$10.00
04-07 19:23Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.0479999982$25.00
04-07 19:23US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$1.00
04-07 19:23US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.005$25.00
04-06 22:27Will France win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1009999829$5.00
04-06 22:25Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?BUY0.25$4.63
04-06 22:25US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.16$5.00
03-23 11:21US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
03-23 11:15US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00