techch
0xe4a6dbc7b38ea83a11e5f7a0f4d1e748d9e674aa
- Realised P&L
- $29.03
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $16.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.795 | $16.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Monkeypox pandemic in 2024? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Nationals vs. Royals · Royals | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.14 |
| Will Trump go on Redscare? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.50at 0.640Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.76at 0.320Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
- +$0.26at 0.880Pershing Square IPO in 2024?
- +$0.16at 0.999Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?
- +$0.08at 0.958Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 03:06 | Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999526 | $17.00 |
| 08-13 08:46 | Nationals vs. Royals | BUY | 0.62999993 | $1.80 |
| 11-13 05:55 | Will Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election? | BUY | 0.999 | $162.00 |
| 10-31 06:14 | Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1? | BUY | 0.7299999921 | $10.14 |
| 10-23 08:10 | Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.0k |
| 10-23 08:09 | Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.002 | $10.67 |
| 10-23 08:08 | Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? | SELL | 0.974 | $2.88 |
| 10-23 07:47 | Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 10-23 07:44 | Pershing Square IPO in 2024? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.87 |
| 10-23 07:43 | Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? | BUY | 0.9789997654 | $2.90 |
| 10-23 07:43 | Monkeypox pandemic in 2024? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 07:43 | Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.003 | $16.00 |
| 10-23 07:42 | Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 07:42 | Bird flu pandemic in 2024? | BUY | 0.957999983 | $1.80 |
| 10-23 07:42 | Will Trump go on Redscare? | BUY | 0.0939999478 | $1.49 |