Raphstaman
0xe4a00a3697a9207435114d2aa5b76e616be8c13b
- Realised P&L
- $-62.09
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $33.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.88at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$4.82at 0.180Dogecoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$3.76at 0.210Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.90at 0.266Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$2.36at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5659998245 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 04:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 03:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.7549999933 | $1.70 |
| 09-22 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999399 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:30 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.2529999469 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:16 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2059999971 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |