PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe49EFc1754Bb0D4c5Db6bf53A1BB6C1C9554eF6B-1778941762073

0xe49efc1754bb0d4c5db6bf53a1bb6c1c9554ef6b

Realised P&L
$39.42
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
226
Open portfolio
$0.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded226
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 5? · Yes0.0210.001$0.01−$0.41
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$6.60
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 22? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$7.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$2.25
Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 21? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 1? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$2.25
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00−$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$2.75
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 3? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Danilo Barbosa da Silva be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 22? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C on September 21? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$3.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 11:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.119999999$5.00
10-05 11:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.119999999$5.00
10-02 05:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?SELL0.34$0.81
10-02 05:17Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2?SELL0.36$1.31
09-08 06:43Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?SELL0.02$0.40
09-08 06:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?BUY0.05$1.00
09-01 11:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1?BUY0.32$1.60
08-20 06:51Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 20?SELL0.02$2.67
08-20 06:45Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 20?SELL0.03$0.24
08-20 06:45Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20?SELL0.04$2.80
08-20 05:56Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?SELL0.05$1.16
08-20 05:52Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?SELL0.07$0.48
08-18 04:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?SELL0.78$3.89
08-18 04:16Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18?SELL0.72$3.60
08-17 10:03Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on August 17?BUY0.001$0.01