0xe49EFc1754Bb0D4c5Db6bf53A1BB6C1C9554eF6B-1778941762073
0xe49efc1754bb0d4c5db6bf53a1bb6c1c9554ef6b
- Realised P&L
- $39.42
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.86at 0.361Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$60.00at 0.400Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$52.82at 0.736Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$37.19at 0.201Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.60at 0.605Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.81 |
| 10-02 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.31 |
| 09-08 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 09-08 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 11:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-20 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.67 |
| 08-20 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.24 |
| 08-20 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.80 |
| 08-20 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.16 |
| 08-20 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.48 |
| 08-18 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.78 | $3.89 |
| 08-18 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-17 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on August 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |