PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe49a30e5f30ad8f4531d5b60b9ccdfbba306f271

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$1.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$1.01−$8.99
Nothing Ever Happens: April · Something0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.6490.000$0.00−$5.00
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bernie or Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NYC rally? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? · No0.3940.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:33GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL0.06$0.34
09-17 11:33Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.023$0.55
09-17 11:32Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?SELL0.07$1.21
09-17 11:32Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?SELL0.2$1.85
09-17 11:32Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?SELL0.0129600384$1.08
09-17 11:32Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.1862852113$2.12
09-17 11:31Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.59$5.56
09-17 11:31Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.141$10.21
07-23 14:54Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.1380670501$10.00
07-23 14:39Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?BUY0.2109999708$5.00
07-23 14:33Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
04-15 15:47Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.25$5.00
04-14 17:05Human moon landing in 2026?SELL0.956$4.98
04-13 19:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 14?BUY0.0091851543$2.70
04-13 19:02Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 14?BUY0.0041200789$4.50