0xRachel
0xe495714fa11f0afd90f249f7fef874c8531ef0b5
- Realised P&L
- $140.16
- Volume
- $34.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.976 | $1.8k | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.77at 0.987Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$16.77at 0.990Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$10.66at 0.994Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$8.83at 0.995Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$8.66at 0.995Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:07 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $8.75 |
| 10-30 20:06 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9761923373 | $1.8k |
| 08-13 04:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.8k |
| 08-04 04:09 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.7k |
| 07-28 19:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.7k |
| 07-04 05:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.7k |
| 06-24 14:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $99.10 |
| 06-24 14:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $217.38 |
| 06-24 14:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $333.65 |
| 06-24 14:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $17.71 |
| 06-24 14:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $466.99 |
| 06-12 18:29 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.7k |
| 06-12 05:18 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 06-12 05:18 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.43 |
| 06-08 18:00 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.7k |