llk99
0xe4943cc8b5cf767ac35aea7d3eb381ce06eafb2f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.79
- Volume
- $937.04
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $10.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.535 | $10.49 | +$0.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Up | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Up | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.54at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$30.05at 0.621Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$21.42at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$8.89at 0.690Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$8.02at 0.563Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 11:40 | Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:41 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 10-21 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999753 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |