Xiaho
0xe4938bf3eec2b94b4c42940fc8c601cffb20ebbf
- Realised P&L
- $-2.75
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,546
- Open portfolio
- $14.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,546
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.70at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?
- +$6.04at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 29?
- +$5.96at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 26?
- +$5.84at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?
- +$5.29at 0.819Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9504714947 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9409999942 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.78 |
| 09-16 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.26 |
| 09-15 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 11:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.22 |
| 09-15 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 10:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.70 |
| 09-15 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 09-15 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.30 |