yupyup7up
0xe4924c20532f8f0c2c968d5f871d45a3512ed1f8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $1.69M
- Markets traded
- 2,667
- Open portfolio
- $106.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,667
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.085 | $60.71 | −$39.28 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.115 | $46.02 | −$53.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.142Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$582.12at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$358.44at 0.940Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$305.27at 0.796Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$304.56at 0.950Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 00:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-17 00:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $116.82 |
| 07-10 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9869787273 | $1.1k |
| 07-10 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 07-10 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1027266911 | $40.00 |
| 07-09 09:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4928727738 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 18:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.178 | $498.40 |
| 07-07 17:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.105 | $57.58 |
| 07-07 16:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.141 | $197.40 |