Calmaestonks
0xe4816d50a04c26bf31a752ebc3f011288f62d138
- Realised P&L
- $-855.99
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 5,299
- Open portfolio
- $550.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,299
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulls vs. 76ers · Bulls | 0.174 | 0.175 | $37.17 | +$0.17 |
| Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5 · Over | 0.475 | 0.989 | $36.58 | +$19.00 |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves · Bucks | 0.215 | 0.215 | $31.93 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Clippers (-3.5) · Warriors | 0.610 | 1.000 | $23.99 | +$9.35 |
| Oilers vs. Devils · Devils | 0.587 | 0.595 | $22.02 | +$0.29 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) · Warriors | 0.680 | 1.000 | $21.99 | +$7.03 |
| Jazz vs. Spurs · Jazz | 0.130 | 0.095 | $19.24 | −$7.09 |
| Spread: Clippers (-11.5) · Warriors | 0.820 | 1.000 | $17.99 | +$3.23 |
| Raptors vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.372 | 0.345 | $16.87 | −$1.31 |
| Nets vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.790 | 0.885 | $15.93 | +$1.71 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers · Red Wings | 0.370 | 0.385 | $15.40 | +$0.60 |
| Suns vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.600 | 0.615 | $15.38 | +$0.38 |
| Ducks vs. Canucks · Canucks | 0.400 | 0.415 | $15.36 | +$0.56 |
| Spread: Warriors (-28.5) · Clippers | 0.964 | 1.000 | $14.99 | +$0.53 |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning · Lightning | 0.680 | 0.680 | $14.96 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$368.92at 0.070Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$285.00at 0.050Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
- +$241.06at 0.104Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5
- +$227.45at 0.100Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5
- +$213.03at 0.110Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:27 | Raptors vs. Lakers | SELL | 0.38 | $3.42 |
| 10-30 22:46 | Bulls vs. Celtics | SELL | 0.14 | $2.38 |
| 10-28 09:25 | Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $14.72 |
| 10-26 21:43 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.43 | $14.62 |
| 10-26 15:17 | Pacers vs. Bucks | SELL | 0.39 | $9.36 |
| 10-25 22:10 | Clippers vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $14.79 |
| 10-25 18:11 | Warriors vs. Nuggets | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 10-25 03:24 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.43 | $3.83 |
| 10-25 03:07 | Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.51 | $14.79 |
| 10-24 18:42 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.77 | $14.63 |
| 10-23 02:38 | Raptors vs. Wizards | SELL | 0.35 | $8.05 |
| 10-21 22:54 | Panthers vs. Senators | SELL | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 10-21 04:49 | Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | SELL | 0.35 | $6.65 |
| 10-21 03:06 | Hornets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.56 | $14.56 |
| 10-12 20:20 | Bruins vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.51 | $2.58 |