0xe47D257EB1cEB6afc00dbE42d534D7bA51e394e5-1779961857727
0xe47d257eb1ceb6afc00dbe42d534d7ba51e394e5
- Realised P&L
- $-414.15
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $24.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.05at 0.769Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 4?
- +$5.69at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5?
- +$5.04at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 2?
- +$4.55at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11?
- +$4.36at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.9899990298 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on October 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9899990298 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.00 |