PeterStuyvesant
0xe47625e4c10888514a602f8bc379d840466530ee
- Realised P&L
- $159.62
- Volume
- $86.4k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$235.49at 0.918Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?
- +$212.19at 0.932Will France win on 2026-07-04?
- +$192.55at 0.953Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
- +$91.79at 0.868Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
- +$77.41at 0.286Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 12:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.967 | $29.31 |
| 10-07 12:39 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 10-07 12:27 | Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.971 | $28.68 |
| 10-07 12:26 | Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.958 | $28.74 |
| 10-07 12:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.967 | $56.09 |
| 10-07 12:21 | Will the Republican Party win the KS-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 10-07 12:12 | Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $50.04 |
| 10-07 12:02 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $96.90 |
| 10-07 12:01 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $96.10 |
| 10-07 11:54 | Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $66.01 |
| 10-07 11:29 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 10-07 11:21 | Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 10-07 11:19 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 10-07 11:14 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-07 11:04 | Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |