kissmewow
0xe47304d62a0698e0c9c5b61b7905ba273c9711bd
- Realised P&L
- $153.28
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $209.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $209.94 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.45at 0.960US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
- +$11.39at 0.981Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$10.24at 0.930GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
- +$9.80at 0.988Trump out as President by September 30?
- +$7.39at 0.990Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:32 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $210.79 |
| 09-03 05:56 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $839.80 |
| 08-17 02:47 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.60 |
| 08-12 03:24 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $2.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 08-11 03:18 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 10 above $120? | BUY | 0.9982046164 | $251.00 |
| 08-09 02:25 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 08-09 02:25 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.59 |
| 08-09 02:23 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $6.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $196.59 |
| 08-05 08:23 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.90 |
| 08-05 08:22 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.94 |
| 08-04 06:19 | Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9974884665 | $156.00 |
| 08-04 06:13 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.90 |
| 08-04 06:13 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $94.71 |
| 08-04 06:10 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9986505645 | $105.00 |
| 08-04 06:06 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 3 above $130? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |