Zhahsgiwhwb11
0xe4729406478b01f83581cecf05472b639645a6cd
- Realised P&L
- $-62.22
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $5.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.065 | $2.95 | −$7.05 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.053 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Belgium to score first vs. Senegal? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.00at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$24.25at 0.269Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$19.44at 0.225Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$12.38at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
- +$10.41at 0.169Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 20:48 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.25 | $9.90 |
| 07-01 20:54 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.3699999112 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 20:45 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 07-01 20:09 | Belgium to score first vs. Senegal? | BUY | 0.5899999941 | $21.00 |
| 07-01 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $16.25 |
| 07-01 19:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 16:11 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 15:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.1506952 | $18.84 |
| 07-01 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $8.09 |
| 07-01 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $2.18 |