KlaraHoly
0xe4717ee4ebae5cdaae43f6ca91c3e9a2a948d71b
- Realised P&L
- $21.47
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $0.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $0.41 | +$0.06 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 15? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.31 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.09at 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$86.30at 0.727Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$83.60at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$82.09at 0.723Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$80.92at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 11:06 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.30 |
| 09-06 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $108.52 |
| 08-24 07:53 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $108.47 |
| 08-18 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $105.00 |
| 08-11 07:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $106.41 |
| 08-07 07:29 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.43 | $9.03 |
| 08-03 18:09 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999962 | $17.70 |
| 07-30 09:44 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.46 |
| 07-10 19:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.999 | $127.87 |
| 05-08 06:23 | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? | BUY | 0.9799999963 | $42.37 |
| 04-23 08:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $126.89 |
| 04-17 15:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.9985206694 | $126.71 |
| 04-03 18:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $161.37 |
| 04-03 18:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $157.93 |
| 04-03 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $149.92 |